OHI Science | Citation policy
(figure out which regions to label)
index <- read.csv("data/scores_eez2017.csv") %>%
select(region_id, region_name, Index)
vaxis <- index$Index[index$region_id==0]
trend <- read.csv(sprintf("data/trends_%s.csv", scenario)) %>%
select(region_id, index_trend = Index) %>%
left_join(index, by= "region_id") %>%
filter(region_id != 0)
mod <- lm(index_trend ~ Index, data=trend)
summary(mod)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = index_trend ~ Index, data = trend)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -3.4419 -0.3361 0.0874 0.4396 1.9803
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -1.39601 0.39498 -3.534 0.000499 ***
## Index 0.01749 0.00585 2.990 0.003114 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.7964 on 218 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.03938, Adjusted R-squared: 0.03498
## F-statistic: 8.938 on 1 and 218 DF, p-value: 0.003114 p <- ggplot2::ggplot(trend, aes(x=Index, y=index_trend)) +
geom_point(aes(text=paste0("rgn = ", region_name)), shape=19, size=2, color="gray", alpha = 0.75) +
geom_point(aes(text=paste0("rgn = ", region_name)), shape=19, size=2, color="gray", alpha = 0.75) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, color="red", size=.5, linetype=3) +
geom_vline(xintercept = vaxis, color="red", size=.5, linetype=3) +
stat_smooth(method=lm, se=FALSE, color="black", size=0.5) +
theme_bw() +
labs(y="Average change in OHI score per year)", x="OHI score (2017)") ## Warning: Ignoring unknown aesthetics: text
## Warning: Ignoring unknown aesthetics: text plotly_fig <- plotly::ggplotly(p)
plotly_fig### adding labels
labels1 <- c("Bosnia and Herzegovina", "Vietnam", "Philippines",
"Eritrea", "Equatorial Guinea", "Nicaragua", "Turkey", "Somalia", "Costa Rica",
"Glorioso Islands", "American Samoa", "Croatia",
"Estonia", "New Zealand", "Bahamas")
labels2 <- c("South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands", "Republique du Congo")
setdiff(labels1, trend$region_name)## character(0)trend <- trend %>%
mutate(label1 = ifelse(region_name %in% labels1, as.character(region_name), NA)) %>%
mutate(label2 = ifelse(region_name %in% labels2, as.character(region_name), NA))
p <- ggplot2::ggplot(trend, aes(x=Index, y=index_trend)) +
geom_point(shape=19, size=1.75, color="black", alpha = 0.5) +
geom_text(aes(label=label1), hjust=0, nudge_x=0.4, size=2.2) +
geom_text(aes(label=label2), vjust=0, nudge_y=0.1, nudge_x=-5, size=2.2) +
geom_point(data=filter(trend, region_name %in% label1), aes(x=Index, y=index_trend), shape=19, size=1.75, color="darkorange") +
geom_point(data=filter(trend, region_name %in% label2), aes(x=Index, y=index_trend), shape=19, size=1.75, color="darkorange") +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, color="red", size=.2, linetype=3) +
geom_vline(xintercept = vaxis, color="red", size=.2, linetype=3) +
stat_smooth(method=lm, se=FALSE, color="black", size=0.3) +
theme_bw() +
labs(y="Average change in Index score per year", x="OHI score, 2017")
plot(p) ## Warning: Removed 205 rows containing missing values (geom_text).## Warning: Removed 218 rows containing missing values (geom_text).
ggsave("figures/trend vs score.png", width=7.5, height=5, units=c("in"), dpi=600)## Warning: Removed 205 rows containing missing values (geom_text).
## Warning: Removed 218 rows containing missing values (geom_text).ggsave("figures/trend vs score.tiff", width=6, height=4, units=c("in"), dpi=375)## Warning: Removed 205 rows containing missing values (geom_text).
## Warning: Removed 218 rows containing missing values (geom_text).index_2017 <- read.csv("data/scores_eez2017.csv") %>%
filter(region_id != 0) %>%
select(-c(region_name, region_id)) %>%
select(-c(SPP, HAB, ECO, LIV, FIS, MAR, ICO, LSP, Index))
panel.cor <- function(x, y, digits=2, prefix="", cex.cor, ...){
usr <- par("usr"); on.exit(par(usr))
par(usr = c(0, 1, 0, 1))
r <- abs(cor(x, y, use="na.or.complete"))
txt <- format(c(r, 0.123456789), digits=digits)[1]
txt <- paste(prefix, txt, sep="")
if(missing(cex.cor)) cex.cor <- 0.8/strwidth(txt)
text(0.5, 0.5, txt, cex = (cex.cor * r + .15)*3)
}
pairs(index_2017,
lower.panel=panel.smooth, upper.panel=panel.cor,
pch=16, cex=.5)
## export as png with 700 x 700 dimensions
#seeing ones were significant
# panel.cor <- function(x, y, digits=2, prefix="", cex.cor)
# {
# usr <- par("usr"); on.exit(par(usr))
# par(usr = c(0, 1, 0, 1))
# r <- abs(cor(x, y))
# txt <- format(c(r, 0.123456789), digits=digits)[1]
# txt <- paste(prefix, txt, sep="")
# if(missing(cex.cor)) cex <- 0.8/strwidth(txt)
#
# test <- cor.test(x,y)
# # borrowed from printCoefmat
# Signif <- symnum(test$p.value, corr = FALSE, na = FALSE,
# cutpoints = c(0, 0.001, 0.01, 0.05, 0.1, 1),
# symbols = c("***", "**", "*", ".", " "))
#
# text(0.5, 0.5, txt, cex = cex * r)
# text(.8, .8, Signif, cex=cex, col=2)
# }
# pairs(index_2016,
# lower.panel=panel.smooth, upper.panel=panel.cor)data <- read.csv(sprintf('../OHI_final_formatted_scores_%s.csv', saveDate))
data <- data %>%
filter(dimension == "score") %>% # focus only on score data
filter(region_id != 0) %>% # this weighted mean includes high seas and Antarctica
mutate(region_id = ifelse(region_id==300, 0, region_id)) %>% #convert the 300 (i.e., only eez's averaged to zero)
filter(region_id <= 250) %>% # get rid of high seas regions
filter(region_id != 213) %>%
mutate(value = round(value, 0)) %>%
group_by(region_id) %>%
mutate(meanIndex=mean(value[goal=="Index"])) %>%
ungroup() %>%
data.frame()
trends <- read.csv(sprintf("data/trends_%s.csv", scenario)) %>%
gather(goal, "value", -(1:2)) %>%
select(-region_id, region_name = country) %>%
filter(region_name != "eez_weighted_avg")
region_order <- trends %>%
filter(goal=="Index") %>%
arrange(value)
values <- brewer.pal(11, "RdYlBu")
col.values <- colorRampPalette(values, space = 'Lab')(12)
col.brks <- c(-100, -5, -4, -3, -2, -1, 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 100)
trends$goal <- factor(trends$goal, levels = goals)
trends$region_name <- factor(trends$region_name, levels=region_order$region_name)
trends$trend_category <- cut(trends$value, breaks = col.brks)
p <- ggplot(trends, aes(y=region_name, x=goal, fill=trend_category)) +
geom_tile(aes(text = paste0("trend = ", value))) +
scale_fill_manual(values = col.values, na.value="black") +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle=90, vjust=0.5)) +
ylab("") +
xlab("") +
theme_bw()## Warning: Ignoring unknown aesthetics: textplot(p)
ggsave("figures/trend_heatplot.png", width = 20, height=25, units="in")
ggplotly(p)index <- read.csv("data/scores_eez2017.csv") %>%
select(rgn_id = region_id, region_name, Index) %>%
filter(rgn_id != 0)
hdi <- read.csv("../../../ohiprep/globalprep/supplementary_information/v2017/HDI_data.csv") %>%
select(rgn_id, hdi=X2015)
# coastal population
pop <- read.csv("../../../ohiprep/globalprep/mar_prs_population/v2017/output/mar_pop_25mi.csv") %>%
filter(year == 2017) %>%
select(rgn_id, coastal_pop = popsum) %>%
mutate(log_coastal_pop = log(coastal_pop + 1))
## chi data
chi <- read.csv("../../../ohiprep/globalprep/supplementary_information/v2016/CHI_data.csv") %>%
filter(sp_type == "eez") %>%
select(rgn_id, chi=mean)
data <- index %>%
left_join(pop, by="rgn_id") %>%
left_join(chi, by="rgn_id") %>%
left_join(hdi, by="rgn_id")
data_noNA <- na.omit(data)
mod1 <- lm(Index ~ chi, data=data_noNA)
summary(mod1)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = Index ~ chi, data = data_noNA)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -21.5237 -5.0666 0.8949 6.4917 17.8449
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 74.913 4.069 18.41 < 2e-16 ***
## chi -2.775 1.013 -2.74 0.00694 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 8.189 on 143 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.04987, Adjusted R-squared: 0.04322
## F-statistic: 7.505 on 1 and 143 DF, p-value: 0.006936mod2 <- lm(Index ~ hdi, data=data_noNA)
summary(mod2)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = Index ~ hdi, data = data_noNA)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -20.3781 -4.8590 0.4675 4.9287 15.0005
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 42.035 2.949 14.252 < 2e-16 ***
## hdi 30.576 4.037 7.574 4.11e-12 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 7.097 on 143 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.2863, Adjusted R-squared: 0.2813
## F-statistic: 57.36 on 1 and 143 DF, p-value: 4.115e-12mod3 <- lm(Index ~ log_coastal_pop, data=data_noNA)
summary(mod3)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = Index ~ log_coastal_pop, data = data_noNA)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -22.4599 -4.8943 0.2463 6.0385 17.5407
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 57.4964 5.7748 9.956 <2e-16 ***
## log_coastal_pop 0.4274 0.3812 1.121 0.264
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 8.365 on 143 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.008713, Adjusted R-squared: 0.001781
## F-statistic: 1.257 on 1 and 143 DF, p-value: 0.2641mod4 <- lm(Index ~ chi + hdi, data=data_noNA)
summary(mod4)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = Index ~ chi + hdi, data = data_noNA)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -19.4592 -4.9002 0.6125 5.3910 15.7799
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 53.4521 4.3392 12.318 < 2e-16 ***
## chi -2.9441 0.8458 -3.481 0.000664 ***
## hdi 30.9179 3.8900 7.948 5.33e-13 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 6.837 on 142 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.3424, Adjusted R-squared: 0.3331
## F-statistic: 36.97 on 2 and 142 DF, p-value: 1.188e-13mod5 <- lm(Index ~ log_coastal_pop + hdi, data=data_noNA)
summary(mod5)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = Index ~ log_coastal_pop + hdi, data = data_noNA)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -20.3649 -4.4894 0.4647 4.9602 15.2791
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 40.0271 5.4447 7.352 1.42e-11 ***
## log_coastal_pop 0.1435 0.3266 0.439 0.661
## hdi 30.3675 4.0764 7.450 8.33e-12 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 7.118 on 142 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.2873, Adjusted R-squared: 0.2772
## F-statistic: 28.62 on 2 and 142 DF, p-value: 3.612e-11mod6 <- lm(Index ~ log_coastal_pop + chi, data=data_noNA)
summary(mod6)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = Index ~ log_coastal_pop + chi, data = data_noNA)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -21.8720 -4.9678 0.0193 6.0007 19.1294
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 68.7888 7.0208 9.798 < 2e-16 ***
## log_coastal_pop 0.3993 0.3732 1.070 0.28637
## chi -2.7445 1.0126 -2.710 0.00755 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 8.185 on 142 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.05747, Adjusted R-squared: 0.04419
## F-statistic: 4.329 on 2 and 142 DF, p-value: 0.01496mod7 <- lm(Index ~ log_coastal_pop + chi + hdi, data=data_noNA)
summary(mod7)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = Index ~ log_coastal_pop + chi + hdi, data = data_noNA)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -19.4519 -4.8680 0.3943 5.3985 16.1441
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 51.8790 6.2666 8.279 8.60e-14 ***
## log_coastal_pop 0.1099 0.3148 0.349 0.727653
## chi -2.9349 0.8488 -3.458 0.000721 ***
## hdi 30.7569 3.9293 7.828 1.07e-12 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 6.858 on 141 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.343, Adjusted R-squared: 0.329
## F-statistic: 24.53 on 3 and 141 DF, p-value: 7.79e-13AIC(mod1, mod2, mod3, mod4, mod5, mod6, mod7)## df AIC
## mod1 3 1025.2912
## mod2 3 983.8012
## mod3 3 1031.4396
## mod4 4 973.9281
## mod5 4 985.6043
## mod6 4 1026.1265
## mod7 5 975.8029mod8 <- lm(chi ~ log_coastal_pop, data=data)
summary(mod8)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = chi ~ log_coastal_pop, data = data)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -2.37279 -0.34738 0.05498 0.45766 2.73512
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.165134 0.131641 24.044 < 2e-16 ***
## log_coastal_pop 0.055023 0.009737 5.651 4.94e-08 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.695 on 219 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.1273, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1233
## F-statistic: 31.93 on 1 and 219 DF, p-value: 4.935e-08mod9 <- lm(hdi ~ log_coastal_pop, data=data)
summary(mod9)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = hdi ~ log_coastal_pop, data = data)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.30878 -0.10859 0.02746 0.11776 0.22842
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 0.575265 0.100805 5.707 6.4e-08 ***
## log_coastal_pop 0.009349 0.006654 1.405 0.162
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.146 on 143 degrees of freedom
## (76 observations deleted due to missingness)
## Multiple R-squared: 0.01361, Adjusted R-squared: 0.006716
## F-statistic: 1.974 on 1 and 143 DF, p-value: 0.1622p <- ggplot2::ggplot(data, aes(y=Index, x=hdi)) +
geom_point(shape=19, size=2, color="gray", alpha = 0.5) +
theme_bw() +
stat_smooth(method=lm, se=FALSE, color="black", size = 0.5)+
labs(x="Human Development Index", y="OHI index score")
plot(p) ## Warning: Removed 76 rows containing non-finite values (stat_smooth).## Warning: Removed 76 rows containing missing values (geom_point).
ggsave("figures/OHIvsHDI.png", height=4, width=4.5)## Warning: Removed 76 rows containing non-finite values (stat_smooth).
## Warning: Removed 76 rows containing missing values (geom_point).p <- ggplot2::ggplot(data, aes(y=Index, x=chi)) +
geom_point(shape=19, size=2, color="gray", alpha = 0.5) +
theme_bw() +
stat_smooth(method=lm, se=FALSE, color="black", size = 0.5)+
labs(x="Cumulative Human Impact", y="OHI index score")
plot(p) 
ggsave("figures/OHIvsCHI.png", height=4, width=4.5)
p <- ggplot2::ggplot(data, aes(y=Index, x=log_coastal_pop)) +
geom_point(shape=19, size=2, color="gray", alpha = 0.5) +
theme_bw() +
stat_smooth(method=lm, se=FALSE, color="black", size = 0.5)+
labs(x="Coastal population (ln)", y="OHI index score")
plot(p) 
ggsave("figures/OHIvsCoastalPop.png", height=4, width=4.5)
p <- ggplot2::ggplot(data, aes(x=chi, y=log_coastal_pop)) +
geom_point(shape=19, size=2, color="gray", alpha = 0.5) +
theme_bw() +
stat_smooth(method=lm, se=FALSE, color="black", size = 0.5)+
labs(x="Coastal population (ln)", y="Cumulative Human Impact")
plot(p) 
ggsave("figures/CHIvsCoastalPop.png", height=4, width=4.5)### prepare data:
data <- read.csv(sprintf('../OHI_final_formatted_scores_%s.csv', saveDate))
data <- data %>%
filter(dimension == "score") %>% # focus only on score data
filter(region_id != 0) %>% # this weighted mean includes high seas and Antarctica
filter(region_id <= 250) %>% # get rid of high seas regions
filter(region_id != 213) %>%
filter(!is.na(value))data_lm <- data %>%
group_by(goal, region_id) %>%
do(mdl = lm(value ~ scenario, data = .))
#data.frame(glance(data_lm, mdl))
results_lm <- tidy(data_lm, mdl) %>%
ungroup() %>%
filter(term == "scenario") %>%
arrange(goal, estimate) %>%
left_join(goal_names) %>%
left_join(rgn_names) %>%
select(goal=goal, goal_long=long_goal, region_name = country, region_id, average_change_per_year = estimate, p.value) %>%
data.frame()## Warning in summary.lm(x): essentially perfect fit: summary may be
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## unreliable## Joining, by = "goal"## Joining, by = "region_id"#
# weights <- read.csv("../../eez2016/layers/rgn_area.csv") %>%
# select(region_id=rgn_id, area_km2)
#
# results_lm <- results_lm %>%
# left_join(weights, by="region_id")
#
# summary_lm <- results_lm %>%
# group_by(goal, goal_long) %>%
# summarize(mean=mean(average_change_per_year),
# mean_wt=weighted.mean(average_change_per_year, w=area_km2))
# color coded histogram of trends
trends_hist <- results_lm %>%
filter(goal=="Index") %>%
arrange(average_change_per_year)
values <- brewer.pal(11, "RdYlBu")
values <- colorRampPalette(values, space = 'Lab')(13)[2:13]
col.brks <- c(-100, -5, -4, -3, -2, -1, 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 100)
trends_hist$colors <- cut(trends_hist$average_change_per_year, breaks=col.brks, include.lowest=TRUE, labels=values)
cols <- as.character(unique(trends_hist$colors))
g <- ggplot(trends_hist, aes(x=average_change_per_year)) +
geom_histogram(aes(fill=colors), bins=25, center=1.01, col="gray") +
scale_fill_manual("", breaks=colors, values=cols, guide=FALSE) +
labs(y="Number of regions", x="Average yearly change") +
#geom_vline(xintercept=0, color="red") +
theme_bw()
print(g)
ggsave("figures/trend_histogram_color.tiff", width=4, height=3, units=c("in"), dpi=300)data_scores <- data %>%
filter(goal=="Index") %>%
filter(scenario == 2017)
reds <- colorRampPalette(c("#A50026", "#D73027", "#F46D43", "#FDAE61", "#FEE090"), space="Lab")(66)
blues <- colorRampPalette(c("#E0F3F8", "#ABD9E9", "#74ADD1", "#4575B4", "#313695"), space="Lab")(35)
colors <- c(reds, blues)
col.brks <- seq(0,100, by=1)
col.assign <- cut(col.brks, breaks=col.brks, include.lowest = TRUE)
colors_df <- data.frame(colors_plot=colors, col.assign)
colors_df$col.assign <- as.character(colors_df$col.assign)
data_scores$col.assign <- cut(data_scores$value, breaks=col.brks, include.lowest=TRUE)
data_scores$col.assign <- as.character(data_scores$col.assign)
data_scores <- left_join(data_scores, colors_df, by="col.assign") %>%
mutate(colors_plot = as.character(colors_plot)) %>%
arrange(value)
cols <- as.character(unique(data_scores$colors_plot))
g <- ggplot(data_scores, aes(x=value)) +
#geom_histogram(aes(fill=colors), bins=25, center=1.01, col="gray") +
geom_histogram(aes(fill=col.assign), bins=31) +
scale_fill_manual("", values=cols, guide=FALSE) +
xlim(c(0, 100)) +
labs(y="Number of regions", x="Index score") +
theme_bw()
print(g)
ggsave("figures/score_histogram_color.tiff", width=4, height=3, units=c("in"), dpi=300)
ggsave("figures/score_histogram_color.png", width=4, height=3, units=c("in"), dpi=300)